Monday, June 14, 2021

CSE records best corporate earnings in history, crosses Rs. 100 bn mark

The CSE witnessed another landmark, as reported earnings crossed the LKR 100 billion mark for the first time in the history of the CSE during the first quarter of the calendar year 2021. The growth is a monumental 189% YoY growth compared to the corresponding quarter the previous year.

Recording its best quarterly earnings performance in history of over LKR 109bn, the total reported earnings tally for the past 6 months reached LKR 195 Bn and LKR 285bn on a TTM basis. It is commendable to note that the growth momentum comes despite the period being stricken by waves of COVID induced lockdowns, which severely impacted mobility and overall economic activity.

The growth is in testament to the favorable climate for local companies during the post-lockdown period backed by import protectionism, economic stimulus and USD depreciation which proved to benefit the local industries and export segments whilst pent-up demand helped play a further role in strengthening the earnings performance.

The earnings momentum continued from its depressed state during the first wave of COVID-19, to record a 462% growth c.f. 2Q 2020 and a 28% growth from 4Q 2020, the quarter that was affected by the second wave of COVID-19.

A deeper analysis of earnings reveals the thesis that corporate are becoming better equipped to handle lockdowns as it makes its transition into the new normal, whilst the opening up of the economy provides an instant boost following an extended lockdown period.

The Banking sector earnings shot up by 70% YoY (+33% QoQ in 1Q2021/4QFY21) amidst lower impairment provisioning compared to last year and slight margin improvement after bottoming out during 4Q2020.

Capital Goods sector earnings were up +214% YoY in 1Q2021/4QFY21 and up by +63% QoQ basis, on the back of import protectionism, USD depreciation and revival in overall activity levels as the country adjusted to a new normal

Food Beverage & Tobacco saw phenomenal earnings growth of +827% YoY, displaying properties of giffen goods as the country switched back to basics, whilst the palm oil price spike continued to benefit CARS in 4Q’21

The Materials sector earnings improved significantly (+267% YoY) remaining broadly around the Q4 earnings mark (+21% QoQ) to record a growth of over 160%/

Health Care Equipment & Services sector earnings improved significantly +532% YoY and +22% QoQ.

Telecommunication sector earnings surged 36% YoY in 1Q2021/4QFY21 on the back of improved data consumption, cost saving initiatives and reduced operational expenses.

Transportation sector earnings spiked +998% YoY to LKR 4b. The Retailing sector witnessed a phenomenal growth in earnings by +612% YoY (+29% QoQ).

(Courtesy: Softlogic Equity Research)

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