Friday, January 20, 2017

China’s economy grows 6.7% in 2016

China’s economy grew by 6.7% in 2016, compared with 6.9% a year earlier, according to official data, marking its slowest growth since 1990.

The figure is in line with Beijing’s growth target of between 6.5% and 7%.

But the news comes just a couple of days after the leader of one Chinese region admitted GDP data was faked.

China is a key driver of the global economy and a growth slowdown is a major concern for investors around the world.

‘Deception’

Some analysts have taken heart from data showing growth in the last three months of 2016 was at an annual rate of 6.8% - a slightly faster pace than the rest of the year.

But many observers have been saying for a long time that the country’s growth was actually much weaker than the official data suggests.

And those beliefs gained more support this week, when the Governor of Liaoning, Chen Qiufa, said his province had been “involved in a large-scale financial deception” between 2011 and 2014, and that economic data had been doctored.

China is the world’s second-biggest importer of both goods and commercial services, meaning its economic performance has a big knock-on impact around the world.

It plays an important role as a buyer of oil and other commodities, and its slowdown has been a factor in the decline in the prices of such goods.

Beijing’s aim to rebalance the economy towards domestic consumption has led to major challenges for large manufacturing sectors, and there have been layoffs - especially in heavily staffed state-run sectors such as the steel industry.

Can we trust the numbers? By Stephen McDonell, BBC Beijing Correspondent

Plenty of economists think that GDP is a massively flawed form of measuring the health of any economy but in this country it is even worse.

There is a significant proportion of China watchers who don’t believe the GDP figures are real at all.

For example, in 2016, the country’s (year on year) GDP was exactly 6.7% for three quarters in a row.

While this seems numerically unlikely, I suppose it is possible that this could happen. BBC

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